星期一, 十一月 30, 2015

My Golden Rule for Share Selection - Koon Yew Yin

 

My Golden Rule for Share Selection - Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin | Publish date: Mon, 30 Nov 2015, 09:45 AM

Many friends and acquaintances frequently ask me how I made so much money from the stock market. I have been using this golden rule for share selection:

The company must be able to make more money this year than last year by looking at its profit for the last few quarters and provided it is still selling at a reasonable P/E ratio. For most cases I consider P/E 10 is cheap enough or acceptable. But for leaders of the industries, I am willing to buy at a higher P/E ratio.

I need only to wait for the next quarter profit announcement to see the share price go up because an increased profit announcement is the most powerful catalyst to move share price. When the company announces its annual result of an increased profit, the share price will surely go up because most clever investors who are watching for quarterly announcement, will rush to buy the share.

The following shares comply with my share selection golden rule.
Can One 1st Q. 10 sen, 2nd Q. 14.77 and 3 rd Q. 14.28 EPS selling at Rm 4.35
Focus Lumber 1st Q. 3.22 sen, 2nd Q. 7.80, 3rd Q. 9.35 EPS selling at Rm 2.90,
Thong Guan 1st Q 4.4 sen 2nd Q 6.75 , 3rd Q 10.70 sen EPS, selling Rm 2.65
Mieco Chipboard 1st Q 1.53, 2ndQ 3.21, 3rd Q 2.94 sen EPS, selling Rm 1.10

Many readers frequently complain that I only recommend shares when they have already gone up in price and I wanted to sell so that they can buy. As you know I have been recommending Latitude, Lii Hen and VS for a long time when their prices were much lower but all my critics did not buy. Those who have bought are laughing to the bank.

Now the prices of Latitude, Lii Hen and VS have all gone up a few 100% within 1 or 2 years, nevertheless, they still comply with my golden rule. I believe their prices will continue to climb. You can verify what I said above by looking at their EPS for the last few quarters in Bursa Malaysia.

On the last trading day 28th Nov. 2015, both Latitude and MPI reported about 29 sen per share and both their share prices went up about 30 sen each.

If you are not a novice, you should use margin finance to leverage your profit. As long as you are confident to make more than the 4.8% pa interest rate, you can make more money with margin finance.

I hope some readers will find some new shares which comply with my golden rule and post their findings here for the benefit of all readers.

My intention of posting this article is to teach people how to make more money from the stock market. Unfortunately, there are a few habitual critics who want readers to think that they are clever in making stupid comments. They must realise that most readers can see how stupid they really are and appreciate my writings.
  
As I have a lot of the shares I mentioned above, I am not asking you to buy any of them but if you decide to buy, you are doing it at your own risk.

星期六, 十一月 28, 2015

发展项目和销售进度良好 马星3季赚2.74亿

发展项目和销售进度良好 马星3季赚2.74亿

吉隆坡27日讯)马星集团(MAHSING,8583,主板产业股)截至9月30日首9个月业绩报捷,净利按年上涨4.9%,报2亿7378万6000令吉,胜于去年同期的2亿6101万5000令吉。

首9个月营业额也攀升13.3%,从20亿6077万2000令吉,增至23亿3537万令吉。
 
至于产业发展业务的营业额,则按年增15.3%,达21亿令吉,超越去年同期的18亿令吉。
 
另外,马星集团在第三季净赚8440万2000令吉,营业额为7亿7074万3000令吉。
 
当季的产业销售亮眼,录得6亿4000万令吉,刷新最强劲的季度表现记录。
 
马星集团首9个月业绩走高,归功于旗下发展项目的良好进度和销售,如吉隆坡安邦路的M City、雪州八打灵再也的Icon City、雪州万挠Residence 2、万宜Southville City,以及赛城的Garden Residence、Clover @ Garden Residence及Garden广场的贡献。
 
其他位于吉隆坡、槟城、柔佛依斯干达及沙巴的项目,都纷纷为公司带来贡献。
 
截至9月杪,该公司的总销售额达16亿令吉,归功于推出可负担房屋,符合目前的市场需求。
 
未入账销售47.5亿
 
马星集团董事经理丹斯里梁海金在文告指出,亮眼的销售推动未入账销售额达47亿5000万令吉,推动未入账销售额达47亿5000万令吉,足以支撑公司充裕的现金流,同时能在近期确保盈利持续增长。
 
截至今年9月杪,公司的现金流企于13亿令吉,负债率为0.05倍。未入账销售额和地库的总发展总值达306亿令吉,足以支撑公司未来8年的营业额增长。
 
尽管公司手握的现金流稳定,不过,仍会采取谨慎的措施,同时,将持续探讨价格合理和策略性的土地,以扶持公司稳定和长期的盈利增长。
 
专注首购族需求
马星集团表示,将持续专注于终端用户对首间屋子的需求,因受到年轻人口、新家庭组织和稳定劳工市场的驱动。
 
该公司近期在雪州双溪毛糯推出新产业D'sara Sentral服务公寓,陆续即将推出的产业,包括有柔佛巴西古当的Meridin East城镇项目、万挠M Residence 3,以及万宜Southville City的Cerrado服务公寓。
 
尽管房贷严紧和市场弥漫谨慎的情绪,促使营运环境充满挑战,不过,在坚实的业绩、品牌和市场定位,加上稳健的财务政策支撑下,马星集团仍有信心能交出称心的表现。
 
闭市时,马星集团以1.40令吉挂收,跌4仙或2.778%,成交量有36万2300股。
 
好还是不好就见人见智了,但发产业股未入账销售都增加了很多很多,sunway也是,这weekend就想想吧。http://www.nanyang.com/node/736321?tid=462

星期五, 十一月 27, 2015

How can I make so much money from the stock market? Koon Yew Yin

How can I make so much money from the stock market? Koon Yew Yin


Author: Koon Yew Yin | Publish date: Wed, 7 Oct 2015, 12:03 PM



Since the publication of my Rm 50 million donation to the Penang State Government to build student hostels to help the poor students, many people wrote or telephoned to ask for financial help and many wanted to know how I managed to make so much money from the stock market to help the poor students. They all want to know my secret formula.

After I read investment books by Warren Buffet, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and other investment gurus and with my 32 years of experience, I have formulated a simple way to select shares that I am sure of making money. I cannot lose money if I buy shares following my simple golden rule.

My golden rule for share selection:

It is that the company whose share I want to buy must be able to make more profit this year than last year because when it announces its annual increased profit, the share price will surely go up. By looking at the last few quarterly results, I can estimate whether the company can make more profit this year than last year.

I am only willing to buy the share if it is selling at a P/E of less than 10. I may buy it at a higher P/E if the company is the famous or leader of its industrial group and many financial institutions are holding the share.

There are many share selection criteria such as NTA, Cash flow, return of equity etc. I consider the earning per share (EPS) is the most important. It is the most powerful catalyst to move share price. When its EPS goes up the share price will also go up.

For a start, you must think like a businessman. Since the value of our Ringgit is dropping, I want to find export manufacturers that sell their products in US$. I do not think like an accountant, worrying about cash flow, too much borrowing etc. As a businessman, I know you need more loan to do more business and it takes time to manufacture the products and it takes time to deliver the products.

Moreover, most buyers will not pay cash. They want delay payment of 60-90 days. As a result, the company account will show increased borrowing and poor cash flow.
 
How to use margin finance?
I also use margin finance to buy more shares to make more profit. As my shares go up in price, I can increase my borrowing to buy more shares. I dare to use margin finance because I am confident that I can make more than the interest of 4.8% pa I need to pay.

When to sell?
I will only sell any of my holdings when I am not sure that it can make more profit this year than last year. If I am sure it can make more profit this year than last year, I will not sell because I am sure its price will go up when it announces increased profit.

NOTE: Readers must check all their holdings to make sure that the companies can make more profit this year than last year.

星期二, 十一月 24, 2015

(转帖中国报)善用2015最後7週 讓你2016繳少稅7個行動

善用2015最後7週 讓你2016繳少稅7個行動

報導:林玉敏

 還有7個星期,2015年就要跟我們說“拜拜”,也代表著2016年快要到來了。
 到了年底你或許在規劃年假省多少天,規劃假期到那兒遊玩,有者可能在思考並規劃明年的事業和錢財。
 于此同時,你是否也趁新一年來臨前,抓緊並善用了2015稅年納稅人應得的減免呢?
 納稅人將在2016年3或4月份,才為2015稅年報稅。
 明年轉眼將至,本期《理財贏家》將讓你清楚了解並把握時間,趁機享有應得的減免。

1.帶父母去牙科
 照顧父母是我們身為兒女的責任,而納稅人所支付的特定父母醫藥費,是可獲得減免的。
 政府在2015財政預算案下宣布,納稅人可在2015稅年,享有最高5000令吉的個人父母醫藥費,但不包括配偶父母的醫療費用。
 根據稅收局指南,納稅人得獲得大馬醫藥理事會(MMC)認證的醫生發出證明,證明父母需要相關護理。
 除了得說明父母在特定護理的必要性,要享有父母醫藥費減免的前提包括,有關父母必須是大馬居民,並在國內接受醫療護理。
 一般醫藥費和看護中心提供的醫療護理服務之外,父母醫藥費減免範圍也涵蓋牙科醫療,如拔牙、補牙、洗牙。不過,牙科整形,如假牙、牙齒根管治療等,則不在此範圍。
 所以不妨趁這2個月內,帶父母進行牙科醫療,即可在2015稅年取得相關減免。

2.報讀進修課程
 知識是他人搶不走的個人資產,尤其在現代競爭激烈的環境下,自我提升將提高個人在職場的籌碼。
 政府容許納稅人享有最高5000令吉的個人進修及教育費減免,範圍包括修讀受國內政府或部長承認的碩士或博士研究生就讀的所有課程,以及法律、會計、伊斯蘭金融、技術、職業技能、工業技術、科學或科技資訊課程。
 所以行動可要快了!如果這2個月有自己感興趣的科系,可最后衝刺報讀課程。即時報讀超過2個月的課程,也可以趕在2015稅年獲得進修減免。

3.去做醫療檢查
 納稅人將可享有最高5000令吉的個人、配偶或兒女的嚴重疾病開銷,其中涵蓋500令吉的醫療檢查開銷。
 納稅人不妨做個身體檢查,防患未然,並買個安心,讓健康的體格迎接新的一年,同時也可扣稅。
 稅收局指出,個人、配偶和孩子的全面身體檢查(thorough examination),總計可獲最高500令吉減免。
 這項體檢費用減免,是個人、配偶和孩子最高5000令吉醫療費用減免的一部分。

4.買器材多健身
 完成了體檢,安心迎接新年后,當然得多運動,維持健康的身心,何不趁機購買運動器材操Fit呢?
 如果想擁有健康身心,又剛好打算買賣運動器材的你,就得趁機購器材,方能在2015稅年扣稅。
 在購買1997年體育發展法令下列明的運動項目器材,納稅人可獲得最高300令吉的扣稅。這些運動用品,涵蓋短期消耗品,如高爾夫球、羽毛球等。
 不過,可扣稅的運動器材,不包括運動服裝、泳裝和鞋子。

5.多看書氣質好
 所謂:“書中自有黃金屋,書中自有顏如玉”。更何況,政府讓納稅人為本人、配偶或孩子購買書籍、雜誌、定期刊物,可獲最高1000令吉扣稅。
 根據稅收局,這些讀物可以是實體或電子刊物,但不包括報紙或禁止刊物。
 為人父母的除了可趁機購買書籍給兒女,讓孩子接觸更多知識,也不妨為自己買些書籍,增廣見聞自我提升,全家感受書香的氣息,又可扣稅。

6.存兒女教育費
 政府將納稅人為兒女存入國民教育儲蓄計劃(SSPN)基金的淨金額,即存款扣除提款的頂限設在6000令吉,比2011稅年的3000令吉高出1倍。
 首相拿督斯里納吉在2013年財政預算案中,宣佈把國民教育儲蓄計劃的淨存款減免額,從原本的3000令吉,提高到6000令吉;最新減免額將從2012稅年至2017稅年生效。
 家長們何不通過國民教育儲蓄計劃,從中扣稅,也可為兒女教育規劃,一箭雙雕。

7.為退休金部署
 納稅人為私人退休計劃和保險遞延年金(Deferred Annuity)繳納的款額,兩者合計可獲最高3000令吉減免。
 有興趣參與基金投資,並為日后退休規劃的納稅人,可趁機向基金經理或理財規劃師質詢,以享有扣稅。
 *在抓緊機會,就特定減免作出有必要的開支后,記得要妥善保存相關費用收據,方能獲得應得的減免。

星期五, 十一月 20, 2015

CHARTNEXUS 的免费课程,刚好有空就去吧!

Purchasing good stocks at market bottom
The art of picking market bottom
The market meltdown is not an uncommon sight but unfortunately each time it happens, investors get hurt. While there are investors who get hurt, there are a group of smart traders who are gleefully waiting for the market bottom to buy good stocks at the cheap. 

Looking at the KLCI chart above, with our trend bar, picking the bottom is easy. Look at 2003, 2009 & 2011 market bottom, the trend bar is showing red color.  This means there is extreme pessimism in the stock market and a bottom is formed. Time to buy good stocks!  Now looking at the current trend bar, it has turned red color, the market bottom will present itself soon and that is when you should be buying stocks.

Stop wondering what to do and attend our workshops, there is no better time to get trained right now amidst a falling market. You will be ready for the new bull market. 
(KL) 2-Hour Coaching Session
 
Date : 21 Nov 2015 (Saturday)
Time : 10:00am-12:00pm
Venue : Menara UOA Bangsar,
Suite A-20-1, Level 20,
No.5 Jalan Bangsar Utama 1,
59000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
 
(KL) 2-Hour Coaching Session
 
Date : 25 Nov 2015 (Wednesday)
Time : 7:30pm-9:30pm
Venue : Menara UOA Bangsar,
Suite A-20-1, Level 20,
No.5 Jalan Bangsar Utama 1,
59000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
 
(PG) How To Identify Profit Targets In The Stock Market
 
Date : 29 Nov 2015 (Sunday)
Time : 11:00am-1:00pm
Venue : ChartNexus Penang 1-3-10, E-Gate Commercial, Lebuh Tunku Kundin 2, 11700 Gelugor, Penang Malaysia
 
To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please click here.

星期一, 十一月 16, 2015

黄金十年:中小资本股崛起

黄金十年:中小资本股崛起



我们不敢肯定8月的那次调整是谷底,因为这之后令吉就没有强势过,而油价也在低价徘徊。
要令吉转强还是油价回升,很多专家已经在今年放弃(其实还有两个月不到),放眼看明年有没有机会了。
从那时的低点(近1500点),我国股市指数站回1700点,如今在1650至1750点来回,乐观者美其名为筑底,而看淡者则担心一旦悲观情绪笼罩,股市可能再破底向下,因此按兵不动,不敢造次。
美国情况大同小异,投资者担心美国9月升息,因此在8月提早抛售股票,但抛售压力太大,让人们担心一旦升息,股市可能表现更糟。
结果美联储临崖勒马,没有升息,于是股市重新回升,道琼斯指数大力反弹至近18000点才歇息。
不过,如今市场又再担心美联储在12月升息,于是股市的上市势头受到压抑,指数再次滑落。看来如果要股市保持强势,美联储的升息步骤又要延后了。
在国内,虽然代表指数的30家公司表现一般,以致综合指数也是没什么表现,但预料经过几次坏消息的打击,我国指数应该可以站稳脚步,以不求有功,但求无过的方式度过剩余两个月,而且可能伺机突围,在最后带来小惊喜。
买入多美包装
虽然大牛市缺席,但是一些中小型股票正经历一轮小牛市。
我们不难发现,在8月起,一些公司业绩表现不错的股票,已经从谷底回升50至100%,涨幅令人惊讶。
我们猜想,这大概是投资者观察到这些公司的业绩表现转强,而8月的惊慌抛售又导致股价惨被压至非常低估的水平,因此他们决定出手捞底,在本月份宣布良好业绩前事先买进,喝头杯羹。
40%盈利派息
其中,我们上周买入的T公司,就是这类股票之一。这公司不难猜,它是多美包装(TOMYPAK)。
过去几年,可能是大股东想要脱售股权,无心经营,所以业绩表现平平无奇,公司股价也处于1.20令吉左右的低谷。
虽然如此,公司还是年年赚钱,而且奉行派发最少40%盈利的股息政策。
这种现象,直到去年才有了变化。大股东终于找到买家,而入驻的新股东享有盛誉,是位人到手到,亲力亲为的勤俭之辈。
公司在经历了约一年的整合之后,开始看到成绩。
这个时候恰逢油价低落,而低油价使到其行业的原料价格也降低,因此在控制成本上占优,加上在新领导层的管理之下,公司的业务虽然保持,但是如果从2015年上半年和2014年下半年比起来,其每股盈利成长了约一倍,赚益很明显的有所提升。
我们且看其过去4个季度的表现:

明年首季有望达3令吉
那么,我们可以预测下来两季,就算多美包装营业额还没有什么大突破,其盈利应该会是去年的一倍甚至更多。
2014年多美包装全年盈利是每股7.5仙,而今年如没意外,全年盈利是20仙;如果依照去年的本益比来交易,其股价要成长150%才是。按照15倍本益比来算,股价到了明年首季应该是3令吉。
当我们算到这价格时,应该在股价1.70令吉时当机立断买入,我们却担心自己的算法太过乐观,所以保持观望。直到上周我们才决定买入,读者可能觉得太迟了。
我们目前已在计算明年的业绩,假设它能更上一层楼,那么股价当然有上涨的空间,这时买入并不会迟。结果上周五它继续上涨到2.67令吉。
此外,我们另外买入科恩马(KNM)1万股(每股52仙);科恩马凭单A(KNM-WA)5万股(每股10.5仙)。
新上市的EG工业附加股和凭单表现不俗,我们买进1万股EG凭单(每股41仙)。
我们把CLIQ能源3万母股(每股69仙)继续卖掉。
这时刻,我们观察到不少伺机崛起的股票,最后我们选择了G股,在周五买入1万股(每股62.5仙)以及其凭单两万股(每股22.5仙)。
免责声明
除了股票基本面,本文内容纯属虚构,所有提及股项纯属学术上或经验上的建议,读者若有兴趣投资,应该自行深入研究或询问股票经纪才决定,盈亏自负。我们鼓励通过正确的投资方式创造财富,文中的建议,都有一个完整的买卖纪录。
草根牛马


|

星期二, 十一月 03, 2015

玉楼金阙:预算案不过如此‧陈金阙

玉楼金阙:预算案不过如此‧陈金阙

 
其中反对党纷纷发表论见,认定这是历来最差劲的预算案,却不知所谓“最差预算案”之前是落在哪一年?
 
此外,也有人回应说大家太乐观了,从来没有最差,因为接下来可能“更差”,在国家经济这么艰难的情况之下,糟透了的预算案只是个开始。
 
不过我读一下预算案内容,再听一下即时评论,觉得没什么好坏之分,只不过又是“一年”的预算案而已。
 
我们看到,政府还是继续照顾低收入一群,援助金发了一年又一年,同时有增加的趋势。
 
这是否证明低收入群失去竞争能力的情况越来越明显,非常依赖政府的“恩赐”?
 
反之,高收入群的税务增加,虽然涵盖人数只有区区1万7000人,政府多增的税收也只是4亿令吉,但这项措施带来的背后意义却不可不仔细思量。
 
一,富者有方法对抗
这不是劫富济穷,因为富者有许多方法对抗这种措施。如果是公司的老板,其中一个方法是为自己加薪或派息,以抵消税务的损失。
 
二、税务制四不像
亚洲各先进国皆采取低税务的制度来吸引投资者,这包括香港和新加坡等(最高税务为17%和22%),我国要朝向先进国,不向它们看齐,却反其道而行,以欧美国家的征税制度来解释增税,但又无法给予欧美国家的社会福利制度,让人予四不像的感觉。
 
三、或扩大富人税
别以为许多公民年收入不上60万令吉,此事与“我”无关;其实,没有人能知道下一次开刀的是那个收入群的人民?
 
收入介于10万至60万者尤其忐忑不安。
 
M型家庭再被忽视
 
此外,夹在中间的M型社会和家庭,再一次被忽视,这的确是预算案中的漏失。
 
收入介于3万6000令吉至10万令吉者,得不到BRIM的照顾,却同样面对令吉贬值、消费税冲击、汽油价没随油价跌而大幅调整、一条条大道收费高涨、还有其他生活费腾涨的压力,荷包虽没缩水,消费能力还是减弱了,憋着一股闷气不晓得往哪儿抒发。
 
另外,我们也感到纳闷,这次预算案基本上还是平衡的,同时减低了赤字。
 
应更体恤民情
 
政府能不能作出一个评估,即如果油价依然高涨(在每桶100美元左右),那么我们的预算案内容和数据会什么巨大的改变?
 
少了这笔可观的300亿令吉收入,我们依然可以朝着2020宏愿前进,如果多了这笔钱,我们是不是很快可以收支平衡?
 
政府可以更体恤民情,将如何给予更多的实体资助?恩泽所及,如何抚慰M型社会人民?
陈金阙 专业财务规划师


 

分享

Related Posts with Thumbnails